Democrats now outnumber Republicans in Santa ClaritaMai Nguyen Do March 20, 2019 0 COMMENTS
While the percentage of Democratic voters in Santa Clarita has remained relatively steady over the past several election cycles, recently released data shows a continued decrease in Republican voter registration and a trend of increasing independent registration in Santa Clarita and its encompassing electoral districts, giving local Democrats a slight edge in voter registration numbers.
As the Republican percentage of Santa Claritans continues to decline and the percentage of Democrats has stabilized, a larger share of Santa Clarita voters are now opting for the “no party preference” box on their registration forms. According to the California Secretary of State, there are currently 135,052 voters in the city of Santa Clarita. About 34 percent of Santa Clarita voters are registered Democrats, slightly less than 34 percent are Republicans and about 26.5 percent are registered with “no party preference” — also referred to as “independent.”
Since Oct. 22, 2018, there has been a 0.16 percent decrease in Democratic registration, a 0.77 decrease in Republican registration and a 0.92 percent increase in independent registration in Santa Clarita. Despite experiencing a slight decrease from October to February, Democrats now outnumber Republicans in Santa Clarita.
The 38th Assembly District, represented by Assemblymember Christy Smith (D-Santa Clarita) has seen a similar decrease in Republican voter registration and an uptick in independents. After several years of decreasing percentages of Republican voter registration, the percentage of Democratic voters in the district surpassed the Republican percentage during the 2018 midterm elections. Both Democratic and Republican voter registration in the 38th Assembly District now hover at about 34 percent, with a Democratic advantage of just under one percent.
The largest increase in the difference between Democratic and Republican registrations has been in the 25th Congressional District, now represented by Rep. Katie Hill (D-Agua Dulce). The district includes areas of the High Desert, the Santa Clarita Valley and Simi Valley.
Since Democratic registration rose to meet Republican registration in 2015, the congressional district has seen continued growth in the Democratic registration advantage, with the Democratic registration advantage now at almost 5 percent. Democratic registration surpassed Republican registration during the 2018 primary election season and, along with independent registration, has continued to increase.
“I think for awhile, people were convinced that Santa Clarita would remain the same way forever,” Santa Clarita Valley Young Democrats President Nathan Bousfield said. “There’s still a lot of work to be done, but numbers like this make me feel hopeful about Santa Clarita’s future.”
Mai Nguyen Do is a Vietnamese American poet and researcher. She is a lifelong Santa Clarita resident and a College of the Canyons graduate. She is also the author of Ghosts Still Walking (2016) and Battlefield Blooming (2019). Find her on Twitter @DoNguyenMai.